Saturday, March 16, 2024

India - 2024 - Lok Sabha Elections - Opinions - Opinion Polls - Exit Polls - Results


16.3.2024

https://www.news9live.com/india/tv9-opinion-poll-2024-live-biggest-and-most-reliable-opinion-poll-survey-of-every-lok-sabha-seat-2468337-2468755

NDA - 376

India 133

Others 34

The party wise breakup is in the article.


----------------------


2023


4.12.2023

After declaration of Assembly Elections in 5 states.

 The last time the Congress was in power in only one Hindi-speaking state was in 1998. Sonia Gandhi took over as the party president in that year. The party was then in power in three states – Madhya Pradesh, Odisha and Mizoram. In 2023,  the Congress is once again confined to just three states – Telangana and Karnataka in the South, and Himachal Pradesh in the North. So, this sort of situation is not new for Congress. For that matter, even BJP came back into big reckoning after it suffered badly and got reduced to 2 seats. So, in Indian political system these ups and downs are possible and people should not write obituaries of any party.


The quote by Congress communication head Jairam Ramesh provides motivation to Congress workers.  “Exactly 20 years ago, the Indian National Congress had lost the state elections in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, while winning only Delhi. But within a few months, the party bounced back and went on to emerge as the single largest party in the Lok Sabha polls and formed the government at the Centre. It is with hope, confidence and a firm sense of resolve and resilience that the Indian National Congress prepares for the forthcoming Lok Sabha polls,”  At appropriate time, Jairam Ramesh stated the historical fact to provide cheer to his party members when gloom is all around. 





BJP cannot take it easy. Of course, the entire media is signing praises of BJP performance and its election management skills. Still history indicates surprises. Supporters of BJP have to be active instead of being complacent.

2019 results show LS Polls are not about BJP vs Rest

https://epaper.timesgroup.com/timesspecial/news-current-affairs/2019-results-show-ls-polls-are-not-all-about-bjp-vs-rest/1685643051300




Source: TOI article above

Direct - Congress - BJP  190 seats  BJP 175 - Congress 15

Others - BJP 185 - BJP  128  Others 57

Congress vs Others 71  Congress 37 - Others 34


In 2024 Can Congress win 50 more seats?

Can others win 28 more seats.  That means BJP will lose 78 seats. Can it happen?

Sashi Tharoor said at least in 50 seats BJP win is difficult this time in 2024.


Others have to focus on Bihar and Uttar Pradesh.

Congress has to improve in Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Rajastan, Gujarat


 Nitish Kumar's one to one formula against BJP - Possibilities - Based on the above data.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lYQh9k2rcXI    - Navbharat Times Hindi video



India TV - Opinion Poll - 1 August 2024


NDA 318  - INDIA 175 - Others 50

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KuyuHiuWiuo


What Will Be The Vote Share If 2024 General Elections Were To Take Place Today? - 2023 - Times Now







https://epaper.timesgroup.com/timesspecial/news-current-affairs/2019-results-show-ls-polls-are-not-all-about-bjp-vs-rest/1685643051300

https://www.thequint.com/news/politics/narendra-modi-government-nine-years-ndtv-csds-survey-rahul-gandhi-bjp-congress


Vote shares given as 39% BJP, 29% Congress and 28% others.

Narendra Modi is still the favourite for PM.

The opinion polls have to ask exclusively the choice for PM from opposition faces, if the joint opposition comes to power.

                                                                                                                                                                       Party

Seats Won

# State Total Seats INC    BJP   Others Seats    Others Party


1 Uttar Pradesh 80      1                62 17

2 Maharashtra 48      1               23 24 SHS 18 NCP 4  IND 1

3 West Bengal 42      2               18 22 AITC 22

- -

- -

4 Bihar 40            1              17 22 JD(U) 16  LJP 6

- -

5 Tamil Nadu 38     8 - 30 DMK 23  CPI(M) 2

CPI 2

6 Madhya Pradesh 29 1 28 - - -

- -

- -

7 Karnataka 28 1 25 2 IND 1 JD(S) 1

- -

8 Gujarat 26 - 26 - - -


9 Andhra Pradesh [2014 Onwards] 25 - - 25 YSRCP 22  TDP 3

- -

10 Rajasthan 25 - 24 1 RLP 1


11 Orissa 21 1 8 12 BJD 12


12 Kerala 20 15 - 5 IML 2 CPI(M) 1 KCM 1

13 Telangana 17 3 4 10 TRS 9  AIMIM 1

- -

14 Assam 14 3 9 2 IND 1  AIUDF 1

- -

15 Jharkhand 14 1 11 2 JMM 1  AJSU 1

- -

16 Punjab 13 8 2 3 SAD 2  AAP 1

- -

17 Chhattisgarh 11 2 9 - - -


18 Haryana 10 - 10 - - -


19 Delhi 7 - 7 - - -


20 Jammu & Kashmir 6 - 3 3 JKN 3


21 Uttarakhand 5 - 5 - - -


22 Himachal Pradesh 4 - 4 - - -


23 Tripura 2 - 2 - - -


24 Meghalaya 2 1 - 1 NPEP 1


25 Arunachal Pradesh 2 - 2 - - -


26 Manipur 2 - 1 1 NPF 1


27 Goa 2 1 1 - - -


28 Pondicherry 1 1 - - - -


29 Nagaland 1 - - 1 NDPP 1


30 Mizoram 1 - - 1 MNF 1


31 Andaman & Nicobar Islands 1 1 - - - -


32 Dadra & Nagar Haveli 1 - - 1 IND 1


33 Daman & Diu 1 - 1 - - -


34 Sikkim 1 - - 1 SKM 1


35 Lakshadweep 1 - - 1 NCP 1


36 Chandigarh 1 - 1 - - -


Total 542 52 303 187


https://www.indiavotes.com/pc/party/statewise_seats_breakup/17


https://www.thequint.com/elections/election-results-2019-final-winners-list-party-state-wise

17.8.2023

Every sentence being observed and used. "The Rajya Sabha MP said Modi is following into the footsteps of his party colleague and Deputy Chief Minister of Maharashtra Devendra Fadnavis by including a mi punha yein (I'll come back again) element in his Independence Day speech."  Fadnavis didn't return as CM, what will Modi return as: Pawar 

https://www.rediff.com/news/report/fadnavis-didnt-return-as-cm-what-will-modi-return-as-pawar/20230817.htm






Ud. 17.3.2024,  8.12.2023

pub 17.8.2023




No comments:

Post a Comment