Sunday, July 1, 2018

Winning Elections Based on Performance - 2019 Lok Sabha Elections - BJP Strategic Options


Can BJP increase its vote share in 2019 Lok Sabha Elections?

Votes garnered by Political Parties during 2014 Lok Sabha Elections




BJP  31.3%, 171,660,230

INC 19.5%, 106,935,942

AIADMK 3.3%, 18,111,579

AITC 3.8%, 20,378,052

BJD 1.7%, 9,489,946

SS 1.9%, 10,050,652

TDP 2.5% 14,099,230

TRS 1.2% 6,736,270

Refer: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_general_election,_2014

So BJP got 17.166 crore votes during the 2014 Lok Sabha elections. It can increase the votes in its favour in 2019 Lok Sabha elections based on its claims regarding serving crores of people during the last four years.


1. Bottom of the Pyramid People Outreach Option

The Government claims that its performance is exemplary and its schemes benefited crores of bottom of the pyramid families. It made a website showcasing its performance during 4 years of rule. Does it believe that it delighted crores of individuals with its economic and social transformation policies? If the answer is yes, it can locate the beneficiaries and reach them for further support during 2019 Lok Sabha elections through its 12 crore members.

People Contact Effort by  BJP Field - Party Members


BJP as an incumbent government is truly at an advantage to motivate the beneficiaries of its schemes and programme to lend support. It has to martial its field members to contact the beneficiaries, find their further economic and social needs during the next five years and communicate them back to the party headquarters to include them in the next manifesto. Thus they can effectively capture the beneficiary votes through their past actions and future promises.


If BJP is able to to reach the beneficiaries effectively, Congress will be at a disadvantage. But at the moment, media analysis indicates that Congress has seized the initiative in building up news in its favour. In UP and Bihar, the combination of Akhilesh - Tejaswi - Jayant is being highlighted as the young new brigade that can upset BJP.


PM Personally Doing Outreach on His Government's Welfare Schemes

Economic Times 30 June 2018
Via Namo App
PM leads bid to create awareness on Central Schemes
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/modi-leads-bid-to-create-awareness-on-central-schemes/articleshow/64801498.cms

5 June 2018 - Young entrepreneurs involved in startups and innovations (Mudra Yojana?)
7 JUne  - Aushadi Yojana and Stent price capping
15 June - Digital India beneficiaries
20 June - Farmers - Doubling farm incomes
27 - Social security and insurance programmes

What are the schemes of BJP - Modi Government that benefitted Crores of Persons and Families in the last Four Years?


Visit https://48months.mygov.in/


Impact of Various Schemes and Initiatives  scheme

LEDs Distributed under Ujala Scheme

LEDs Distributed
300,890,730 - 30 crores plus - 2 per family - 15 crore+ families benefitted.
31/05/2018
300,890,730


Loans Sanctioned under Mudra Yojana
Loans Sanctioned
129,073,857  -  12.90 crores loans sanctioned
31/05/2018
129,073,857


Households Electrified under Saubhagya since Oct. 2017
Total no. of Households Electrified
6,492,031  - 64.92 lakhs
31/05/2018
6,492,031


Children vaccinated under Mission Indradhanush
No. of Children vaccinated
31,500,000
31/05/2018
31,500,000


Soil Health Cards Dispatched
SHC Dispatched
134,546,471  - 13.45 crores 
31/05/2018
134,546,471


Direct Benefit Transfer since FY 2014-15
Direct Benefit Transfer since FY 2014-15
Rs. 3,821,785,000,000
31/05/2018
Rs 3,821,785,000,000

 s
Subscribers under Atal Pension Yojana
Number of Subscribers
More Than 10,000,000
31/05/2018
More Than 10,000,000


Gram Panchayats connected by Optical Fiber
Gram Panchayats connected by Optical Fiber
115,978
31/05/2018
115,978


Household Toilets Constructed under Swachh Bharat
No. of Household Toilets Constructed (Rural+Urban)
77,979,293   -  7.79 crore families provided toilets
31/05/2018
77,979,293


Length of Road Constructed under PM Gram Sadak Yojana Since FY 2013-14
Completed Length
171,659
Kms
31/05/2018
171,659 Kms


People Enrolled under PM Suraksha Bima Yojana
People Enrolled
135,341,000   -  13.53 crores
31/05/2018
135,341,000


LPG Connections Released under Ujjwala Yojana
BPL LPG Connections Released
41,030,010   -   4.10 crores families
31/05/2018
41,030,010


Beneficiaries under PM Jan Dhan Yojana
Total Number of Beneficiaries
316,700,000
31/05/2018
316,700,000


Open Defecation Free-Villages
Open Defecation Free-Villages
374,371
31/05/2018
374,371


Pensioners benefited by Jeevan Pramaan
No. of Pensioners submitted their Digital Life Certificates on Jeevan Pramaan
16,892,000
31/05/2018
16,892,000


MyGov Subscribers
Number of Registered Users
5,933,140
31/05/2018
5,933,140


Citizens Enrolled under PM Jeevan Jyoti Bima Yojana
Citizens Enrolled
53,475,000  -  5.34 crores
31/05/2018
53,475,000


No. of Un-electrified Villages
Number of Un-electrified Villages under DDUGJY
0
31/05/2018
0


Fresh Registrations on National Scholarship Portal
Total Fresh Registrations
12,044,589
31/05/2018
12,044,589


Houses Completed under PM Awas Yojana
Number of Houses Completed (Urban + Rural)
10,000,000 - 1 crore families
31/05/2018


2. Intellectuals (Researchers and Developers) Outreach Option




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Numerous universities, 7 IITs, 7 IIMs, 14 IIITs, 1 NIT started functioning. AIIMS were also started.
PM Research Fellowship started.

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20 Institutes of Eminence will declared and funded.

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Government has promoted research and development through various higher educational institutes. It can initiate a dialogue with research and invention communities and explain their activities so far and can take inputs for the next five years.


Vigyan Se Vikas
Advertisement in Times of India and Economic Times dated 7 June 2018

Mann Ki Baat on 25 February 2018

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English translation
http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=176780

Updated  2 July 2018,  6 June 2018
First posted 3 June 2018

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